Unveiling our 2025 NFL season projections: Predicting the top teams and Super Bowl favorites

ESPN's Seth Walder examines the 2025 NFL season projections using the Football Power Index (FPI). The Philadelphia Eagles are slight favorites to win the Super Bowl with a 12% chance, the lowest for a preseason favorite since the model's inception. The top tier of teams includes the Eagles, Chiefs, Ravens, Lions, and Bills, all noted for their offensive strengths. Despite the Eagles leading, the FPI highlights offensive stability and performance as critical for success. The article explores key divisional battles, with the Lions leading the NFC North and the 49ers favored in the NFC West due to an easier schedule. The Bills dominate the AFC East with a strong 65% chance of winning. The Bengals, despite defensive troubles last season, are optimistic about making the playoffs with a 60% chance. At the bottom, the Saints are ranked last by FPI following Derek Carr's sudden retirement, though the NFC South's overall weakness offers some relief. The Browns hold the highest likelihood (13%) of securing the No. 1 pick in the 2026 draft, chiefly due to a challenging schedule and a struggling quarterback room. The article delves into potential Super Bowl matchups and forecasts team performances across divisions, painting a detailed picture of the upcoming NFL season.